Could Baltic and Nordic countries get visitors from Oceania or Americas during this year?

Updated 30.6.2020 at 2.30 a.m.

On Tuesday, 23 June 2020, the Finnish government set a general country-specific limit for COVID-19 infections of 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days. There should be 8 or fewer infections per 100,000 inhabitants in different countries. If the number of infections in the 14-day period averages 8 or less / day, it would allow travel without special border formalities or quarantine (voluntary 14-day quarantine in Finland). The reference period is in our table 23.6 – 10.7.2020 which is longer than Finnish Government.

We will follow on daily basis now all Oceanian and American countries situation until 10.7.2020. There have been lately discussion with European Union and additionally those Schengen Entry countries. There is final decision by the European Union already marked to 1.7.2020. Then there will be published a list of those countries for whom EU will open external borders and lifting for example voluntary quarantine or other border entry restrictions. 

This gives to Finnish incoming and outgoing travel industry more specific information what to expect in near future of border control and restrictions to travel. Our company planned to organize a sales event in Finland in the end of August, so this gives us also an estimate of foreign travel trade possibility to attend at the event. The most important pieces of information are obviously in the chart where we show the limits of “8 cases/100 000 population in each country”. The shown number is for whole 14 days period which is not exactly mentioned by the Finnish Government. But it has been said the Government will be discuss those numeric figures 10.7.2020 and then the new restrictions or regulations will be coming in effect on 13.7.2020. We took longer period in our study by starting 22.6 and finishing 10.7.2020 – just in case. Also for those who are interested the estimates for each day, we added 14 days period what is maximum number of infections per day. 

The best chances to get the status of free entry have Australia and New Zeeland. Both countries have had so far quite “clean record” and the epidemic in control. There have been rumours also getting Canada and Uruguay from the Americas in this list too. We have left our from our chart Uruguay away because it is not than important target market area. 

Colours here such as “green” or “red” indicating if the country is over or below number 8. If it is exact 8, then the chosen colour is “yellow”.  “Blue” colour indicates there are daily numbers missing or there are possible non adequate data availalbe. “White” blocks indicates country didn’t provide information that day. Cyprus and Turkey will be included and published in our Asia study later this week.

Americas & Oceania
Population
Population
8 cases
14 days/day
Average
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
/ 100000
/100000
24.6 – 10.7
since 24.6
 
Population
Total tests
100
Percentage

Argentina
45 190 471
451,9
3615,2
258,2
2122
Argentina
45 190 471
344409
34440900
0,76

Australia
25 495 732
255,0
2039,7
145,7
46
Australia
25 495 732
2414416
241441600
9,47

Brazil
212 541 690
2125,4
17003,3
1214,5
36119
Brazil
212 541 690
3017350
301735000
1,42

Canada
37 738 895
377,4
3019,1
215,7
309
Canada
37 738 895
2676705
267670500
7,09

Chile
19 114 153
191,1
1529,1
109,2
3536
Chile
19 114 153
1096443
109644300
5,74

Mexico
128 918 206
1289,2
10313,5
736,7
5288
Mexico
128 918 206
556198
55619800
0,43

New Zeeland
5 002 100
50,0
400,2
28,6
2
New Zeeland
5 002 100
395510
39551000
7,91

USA
330 986 397
3309,9
26478,9
1891,4
40263
USA
330 986 397
33076248
3307624800
9,99

Source: Worldometer and ToolBox Consulting Ltd.

More information: Kari Halonen, kari.halonen [at] toolboxtravel.fi