In Europe, the countries with low virus levels are already clearly distinguished

Released 6.7.2020

We monitor the situation of the viral pandemic on different continents on a daily basis by country.

On 23 June, the Finnish government announced that it would take new decisions on opening the borders on Friday 10 July. At the time, it was reported that the opening of borders on 13.7. from specific countries based on the disease situation in each country.   The criteria for opening is the number of new coronavirus infections, which must be less than 8 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in a two-week period. However, disease situations change in all European countries on a daily basis, so countries can be added to or removed from a previously published list.

Today we are focusing on EUROPE. Update 6.7.2020.

It has now been 14 days since we have maintained statistics since 22.6. We look at the 14-day average, older figures 
drop out of bills every time new figures are released. Thus, in a few days, the score of some countries may bounce 
higher or  drop lower depending on the number of new cases. In comparison, we have also kept the limit set by the EU: 
14 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. 
If the Finnish government made a decision today, the citizens of the following countries would definitely be able to enter
Finland without special border formalities or voluntary 14-day quarantine. The list also includes those countries (6) to 
which the Finnish government has previously granted tourist border crossing status.
YES: Andorra, Denmark, Estonia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Malta, 
Monaco, the Netherlands, Norway, San Marino, Slovakia, and Vatican City. 
MAYBE: The following countries would qualify according to EU criteria, but not according to the criteria set by the 
Finnish government. In these countries, positive changes over the next week would also allow them to be added to the 
list of approved ones. Those countries are: Austria, Belgium, France, Poland, Slovenia, Spain and Switzerland. 
NO: In the following countries, the daily rates of viral infections are either much or really much above the limit values. 
We  suspect that over the next 7 days, there will be large jumps in averages to decrease volumes. Those countries are: 
Albania, Belarus, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Luxembourg, Moldova, Montenegro,North 
Macedonia, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Serbia, Sweden, Ukraine and United Kingdom. Perhaps closest to the ”Maybe 
Group” are Croatia and Czech Republic.  

Sometimes there can be a single cluster of disease in a country that causes an increase in statistics. The monitoring also shows how the country has been able to keep the infection rates reasonable in the long run. There have also been discussions about allowing a particular region of a state to be accepted on the "yes" list.

In this context, it is also good to take into account the number of tests in different countries in the comparison. There are rather low quantities in Europe, e.g. in many Balkan countries, France and Ukraine. In our statistics, the number of tests in these countries is less than 3% of the population.

Average    last 14 days/ last 14 days / Covid Covid Test Percentage
since 22.6   day avg max 14 day avg max 8 Tests  /Population Population
67 Albania 28,8 16,4 24601 2460100 0,85
0 Andorra 0,8 0,4 3750 375000 4,85
67 Austria 90,1 51,5 647804 64780400 7,19
361 Belarus 94,5 54,0 1068029 106802900 11,30
97 Belgium 115,9 66,2 1284605 128460500 11,08
109 Bosnia & Herzegovina 32,8 18,7 97736 9773600 2,98
119 Bulgaria 69,5 39,7 153576 15357600 2,21
60 Croatia 41,0 23,5 84166 8416600 2,05
138 Czech Republic 107,1 61,2 571662 57166200 5,34
32 Denmark 57,9 33,1 1106377 110637700 19,10
1 Estonia 13,3 7,6 109089 10908900 8,22
8 Finland 55,4 31,7 251600 25160000 4,54
470 France 652,8 373,0 1384633 138463300 2,12
427 Germany 837,9 478,8 5873563 587356300 7,01
18 Greece 104,2 59,6 337154 33715400 3,23
6 Hungary 96,6 55,2 286083 28608300 2,96
3 Iceland 3,4 2,0 87860 8786000 25,74
11 Ireland 49,4 28,2 454216 45421600 9,20
195 Italy 604,6 345,5 5638288 563828800 9,33
1 Latvia 18,9 10,8 158518 15851800 8,41
0 Liechtenstein 0,4 0,2 900 90000 2,36
3 Lithuania 27,2 15,6 440453 44045300 16,18
29 Luxembourg 6,3 3,6 224953 22495300 35,93
1 Malta 4,4 2,5 101937 10193700 23,09
258 Moldova 40,3 23,1 101180 10118000 2,51
1 Monaco 0,4 0,2 16200 1620000 41,28
30 Montenegro 6,3 3,6 13820 1382000 2,20
63 Netherlands 171,4 97,9 616376 61637600 3,60
139 North Macedonia 20,8 11,9 66133 6613300 3,17
13 Norway 54,2 31,0 348208 34820800 6,42
287 Poland 378,5 216,3 1639370 163937000 4,33
340 Portugal 102,0 58,3 1205593 120559300 11,82
352 Romania 192,4 109,9 766868 76686800 3,99
6898 Russia 1459,5 834,0 21335394 2133539400 14,62
0 San Marino 0,3 0,2 5729 572900 16,88
231 Serbia 87,4 49,9 439445 43944500 5,03
13 Slovakia 54,6 31,2 218346 21834600 4,00
13 Slovenia 20,8 11,9 105652 10565200 5,08
305 Spain 467,6 267,2 5448984 544898400 11,65
300 Sweden 101,0 57,7 519113 51911300 5,14
70 Switzerland 86,6 49,5 624396 62439600 7,21
853 Ukraine 437,3 249,9 722513 72251300 1,65
813 United Kingdom 678,9 387,9 10505758 1050575800 15,47
0 Vatican City 0,0 0,0 0 0 0,00

It is expected that the Finnish government will review the situation at the end of July.

Sources: Worldometer, WHO and ToolBox Consulting Ltd.

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